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World Conflict Observatory
Explore recorded organized violence worldwide and published monthly machine-learning forecasts.
Incident records and forecasts have separate sources. No event is inferred from pollution readings.
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State-based conflict · at least 25 battle-related deaths per country-month
Worldwide recorded events
Map & layers
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Open in Google Maps ↗Scroll or double-click to zoom. Drag to move; pinch with two fingers. Keyboard: + / −, arrows, 0 for the world.
Map & layers
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Open in Google Maps ↗Select a marker or a record to read the source details.
Outlines are simplified. Small states are also available in the results list.
UCDP Candidate · provisional
Incident records
Sources, coverage & model
UCDP Candidate
UCDP Candidate covers organized lethal violence under UCDP definitions. Records are provisional, may be aggregated, and can be revised. Clear is a coding status, not a guarantee of complete verification. Date filters select overlapping records; totals retain each record’s full reported period.
Location names and source reporting units may differ. Gaza Strip and West Bank locations are displayed as Palestine using UCDP administrative fields. The original reporting labels remain in source metadata. Palestine outlines use OCHA / HDX COD-AB (valid 19 October 2023); other outlines are simplified Natural Earth geometry. Map outlines do not define forecast reporting units.
UCDP · datasets ↗UCDP · codebook 1.5 ↗OCHA / HDX · Palestine COD-AB ↗Hegre, Croicu, Eck & Högbladh (2020), Introducing the UCDP Candidate Events Dataset. DOI: 10.1177/2053168020935257. Högbladh (2026), UCDP Candidate Codebook v1.5.VIEWS · fatalities003
Published outputs from the VIEWS fatalities003 machine-learning ensemble, developed by Uppsala University and PRIO. Worldwide forecasts concern monthly state-based conflict at country level.
Probabilities are estimates. This feed supplies no prediction intervals; a value near zero does not establish safety.
VIEWS · model ↗VIEWS · data ↗VIEWS · codebook ↗fatalities003_2026_08_t01Source coverage
Records without coordinates remain in the list
Global UCDP coverage of organized lethal violence, for the dated release above. All coding statuses are included by default. This is not a complete live feed of every conflict or attack. An empty area does not establish the absence of conflict.
Incidents: UCDP, CC BY 4.0 · Forecasts: VIEWS / Uppsala University & PRIO · Basemap: Natural Earth, public domain. · Palestine outlines: OCHA / HDX COD-AB, CC BY-IGO.